HomeEditor's PickSOL stays below $80 amid mixed market sentiment: check forecast

SOL stays below $80 amid mixed market sentiment: check forecast

Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and other leading cryptocurrencies are in the red after a brief rally on Wednesday. 

Solana’s SOL is the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap, down 2.5% since Thursday.

It is currently trading at $79 per coin, following a correction of over 9% since the start of the week. 

On-chain and derivatives data show mixed sentiment among traders, making it harder for SOL to embark on a sustainable recovery. 

On-chain and derivatives data suggest mixed sentiment for Solana

SOL is the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies this week as it is down 9% over the last few days.

The bearish performance comes despite institutional demand for SOL ETFs returning this week.

According to SoSoValue, Solana spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded inflows of $11.60 million through Thursday, ending two consecutive weeks of withdrawals.

If the inflows continue, SOL’s price could rally higher in the near term.

In addition to that, CryptoQuant’s summary data shows a positive outlook, despite the current bearish price action.

SOL spot and futures market show large whale orders, cooling conditions, and buy dominance, suggesting a potential recovery for the cryptocurrency. 

However, the derivatives market indicates caution among retail investors.

According to CoinGlass, SOL’s funding rate flipped negative on Friday, reading -0.0014%.

The negative funding rate indicates that short positions are paying longs and hinting at a bearish sentiment. 

Finally, SOL’s Open Interest (OI) dipped to $5.01 billion on Friday, and it has been declining steadily since mid-January.

The OI has now reached levels not seen since mid-April 2025. The decline in OI indicates waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.

The mixed market sentiment highlights growing uncertainty among traders, and this could affect a possible bullish recovery. 

SOL could dip to $60 if the bearish trend persists

Aligning with the broader crypto market, the SOL/USD 4-hour chart is bearish as Solana’s price extended its correction this week, falling nearly 9% following last week’s massive dip.

At press time, SOL is trading at $79.87. If the downtrend continues, SOL could extend the decline toward last week’s low of $67.50.

Closing below this level could see the asset extend further losses toward the next key psychological level at $60.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 36, approaching the extreme oversold condition, indicating strong bearish momentum. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also showed a bearish crossover three weeks ago, which remains intact, further supporting the negative outlook.

However, if the bulls regain control, SOL could extend its recovery toward the key psychological level at $80.

Further bullish movement would expose SOL to the Monday high of $88.01.

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